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|* Conforming FNMA Loan Amount. Rates may include points.|
Information updated: 10/17/2019
Posted To: MBS CommentaryThe bond market has a lot on its mind right now. 2019 is proving to be very different from other episodes of big, protracted rate trends. In most past instances, we can point to 1 key theme driving the momentum, with a few occasional supporting actors. Things are more complex and nuanced this time around as the usual suspects for rate inspiration seem to be taking turns in the driver's seat. This week (and perhaps last week, to some extent), Brexit is definitely in control. News of a new potential deal hit bonds overnight, but we bounced back after subsequent news that it would have a hard time getting enough votes to make it through Parliament in a special session this Saturday. Much of the brexit-related volatility was playing out right as this morning's economic data hit. Was this...(read more)
Posted To: Mortgage Rate WatchMortgage rates didn't do much today, but risks are increasing that movement will be more brisk in the coming business days. Blame European politics--specifically: Brexit. This isn't the mortgage rates' world first go-round with the U.K.'s lengthy process of exiting the European Union (aka "Brexit"). In fact, Brexit was the single biggest factor that helped drive rates down to the long-term lows seen in 2016. For most lenders, those rates were close enough to the all-time lows seen in 2012. The fact that they were available in the middle of the summer homebuying season only made things better for the housing market. Thanks Brexit! More than 3 years later and the U.K. is set to run into yet another deadline for its divorce from the EU. This one has been on the radar for months, but it's been...(read more)
Posted To: MND NewsWireAfter posting some of the best results in a year the previous month, all three construction indicators fell back in September . The U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development said housing starts and completions of residential units were especially weak as were the numbers posted in the Northeast. Permits for residential construction declined by 2.7 percent from the prior month for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,387,000 units. The previous estimate of 1,419,000 permits in August was revised up to 1,425,000. The September estimate leaves the permitting rate up 7.7 percent from the September 2018 estimate of 1,288,000 units. Analysts had expected permits to move lower after the 7.7 percent monthly jump in August. Those polled by Econoday were looking for results...(read more)